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Von Storch, On the role of statistics in climate research, International Journal of Climatology, 24, 2004, 665-680.
Marchok, The use of ensembles to identify forecasts with small and large uncertainty, Weather and Forecasting, 16, 2001, 463477, ;2.
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This can happen in many ways, but one dramatic way is due to a phase of the El Niño Southern Oscillation (enso).No doubt, there is always whos your daddy game mac some variability in natural phenomena which no model captures.Sometimes, because of absence of measurements or equipment failures, there are no measurements, and these are clearly marked in the series.Geologic and oceanographic evidence for cyclical climatic oscillations, 33, 2001, Proceedings of the Geological Society of America, Abstracts with Program, page 253, abstract reviewed Ea2005.Be2013 Examining the recent pause in global warming, Berkeley Earth Memo, 2013.Meehl, An overview of cmip5 and the experiment design, Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society, 93, 2012, 485-498.On the clear sky model of the esra - European Solar radiation Atlas - with respect to the Heliosat method.The trade winds along the Pacific equatorial region vary in strength.PDF eubank, Randall., Approximate Regression Models and Splines.Building services engineering research and technology, 11, 4, 153-163.To the degree to which heat goes into the deep ocean, it is not available in atmosphere.They are accessible, can be measured in a number of ways, permit calibration and cross-checking, are taken at convenient boundaries between land-atmosphere or ocean-atmosphere, and coincide with the living space about which we most care.With Hadcrut4 the uncertainty in measurements is described by a hundred member ensemble of values, actually a 2592-by-1967 matrix.The earliest I lotr battle for middle earth 1.03 crack can find are repeated presentations by a single geologist in the proceedings of the Geological Society of America, a conference which, like many, gives papers limited peer review Ea2000, Ea2000, Ea2001, Ea2005, Ea2006a, Ea2006b, Ea2007, Ea2008.Saunby, Reassessing biases and other uncertainties in sea-surface temperature observations measured in situ since 1850, part 2: Biases and homogenization, Journal of Geophysical Research: Atmospheres (1984-2012), 116(D14,.org/10.1029/2010JD015220.
Wahba, Generalized cross-validation as a method for choosing a good ridge parameter, Technometrics, 21(2 May 1979, 215-223.
Note that, given the overall temperature anomaly series, such as Figure 6, and specific series, such as the one for Moscow in Figure 7, moderation in warming is not definitive.


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